Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000916 0.000953 0.000989 0.001030 0.001073 0.001117 0.001166
2025-10-05 0.000828 0.000879 0.000932 0.000992 0.001059 0.001130 0.001212
2025-10-12 0.000782 0.000844 0.000911 0.000988 0.001077 0.001174 0.001292
2025-10-19 0.000745 0.000815 0.000893 0.000985 0.001093 0.001215 0.001367
2025-10-26 0.000711 0.000788 0.000873 0.000977 0.001101 0.001245 0.001430
2025-11-02 0.000688 0.000770 0.000863 0.000978 0.001119 0.001287 0.001507
2025-11-09 0.000662 0.000747 0.000845 0.000968 0.001121 0.001308 0.001558
2025-11-16 0.000638 0.000725 0.000827 0.000957 0.001121 0.001325 0.001606
2025-11-23 0.000630 0.000722 0.000831 0.000972 0.001153 0.001383 0.001708
2025-11-30 0.000616 0.000711 0.000825 0.000974 0.001169 0.001422 0.001786
2025-12-07 0.000597 0.000693 0.000809 0.000963 0.001166 0.001434 0.001827
2025-12-14 0.000578 0.000674 0.000791 0.000948 0.001158 0.001437 0.001857
2025-12-21 0.000563 0.000661 0.000780 0.000942 0.001161 0.001458 0.001911
2025-12-28 0.000538 0.000633 0.000750 0.000910 0.001128 0.001426 0.001887
2026-01-04 0.000527 0.000623 0.000742 0.000907 0.001134 0.001449 0.001948
2026-01-11 0.000516 0.000613 0.000735 0.000904 0.001140 0.001474 0.002011
2026-01-18 0.000504 0.000602 0.000725 0.000897 0.001140 0.001487 0.002057
2026-01-25 0.000497 0.000595 0.000721 0.000898 0.001152 0.001519 0.002136
2026-02-01 0.000486 0.000584 0.000710 0.000889 0.001148 0.001528 0.002175
2026-02-08 0.000475 0.000573 0.000699 0.000880 0.001143 0.001534 0.002211
2026-02-15 0.000473 0.000573 0.000704 0.000892 0.001171 0.001592 0.002340
2026-02-22 0.000467 0.000568 0.000701 0.000895 0.001184 0.001627 0.002430
2026-03-01 0.000457 0.000558 0.000690 0.000885 0.001177 0.001630 0.002462